Tournaments › Tournament simulation
Tournament simulation
For tournaments in progress, this shows each player's chance of reaching the final and of winning. The remaining games are valued by the win probability from the current rating difference, summed over every possible way the bracket can play out.
NHK Cup FY2026
| # | Players | Reach the final | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sota Fujii6 titles / age 24 | 55.3% | 46.2% |
| 2 | Takuya Nagase9-dan / age 34 | 21.5% | 15.0% |
| 3 | Akira Watanabe9-dan / age 42 | 24.9% | 8.7% |
| 4 | Yuuki Sasaki8-dan / age 32 | 22.0% | 6.1% |
| 5 | Masayuki Toyoshima9-dan / age 36 | 12.7% | 4.3% |
| 6 | Shinichiro Hattori7-dan / age 27 | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| 7 | Takahiro Oohashi7-dan / age 34 | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| 8 | Yusei Koga6-dan / age 25 | 10.1% | 2.4% |
| 9 | Tetsuro Itodani9-dan / age 38 | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| 10 | Daichi Sasaki7-dan / age 31 | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| 11 | Akira Inaba8-dan / age 38 | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| 12 | Seiya Kondou8-dan / age 30 | 4.0% | 1.9% |
See the bracket and all games →
Only tournaments with a published bracket are listed. First/second move, form and matchups are not included. How accurate the predictions are can be checked here here. Predictions for title matches are here。