Rating › Title matchの勝敗予想
Title match forecast
Title matchのTitle matchで, 両対局者のレーティングから, それぞれがTitle matchに勝つ確率を計算したものです. 進行中のTitle matchは, いまの勝ち数から残りを計算しています.
進行中のTitle match
39th term Ryuo-sen (Best-of-7)
Sota Fujii 2 wins － 0 wins Shinichiro Hattori
Chance of winning the title match (single-game win probability: Sota Fujii 79%)これまでのTitle match: 事前の予想と結果
Title matchが始まる前のレーティングで, 勝つ確率が高かった側 (本命)が実際に勝ったのは, 367回のうち273回 (74%)でした. 直近30回の予想と結果です.
| 終了 | Title match | Winner | 勝者が勝つ確率 (事前) | Loser | Record | 予想 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | 74th term Oza-sen | Akihito Hirose | 27% | Takumi Ito | 3-2 | 番狂わせ |
| Sep 2026 | 67th term Oi-sen | Sota Fujii | 86% | Takumi Ito | 4-2 | ○ |
| Jul 2026 | 97th term Kisei-sen | Sota Fujii | 93% | Shinichiro Hattori | 3-0 | ○ |
| May 2026 | 11th term Eio-sen | Takumi Ito | 75% | Shintaro Saito | 3-2 | ○ |
| May 2026 | 84th term Meijin-sen | Sota Fujii | 97% | Tetsuro Itodani | 4-0 | ○ |
| Mar 2026 | 51st term Kio-sen | Sota Fujii | 96% | Yasuhiro Masuda | 3-2 | ○ |
| Mar 2026 | 75th term Osho-sen | Sota Fujii | 77% | Takuya Nagase | 4-3 | ○ |
| Nov 2025 | 38th term Ryuo-sen | Sota Fujii | 94% | Yuuki Sasaki | 4-0 | ○ |
| Oct 2025 | 73rd term Oza-sen | Takumi Ito | 11% | Sota Fujii | 3-2 | 番狂わせ |
| Sep 2025 | 66th term Oi-sen | Sota Fujii | 86% | Takuya Nagase | 4-2 | ○ |
| Jun 2025 | 96th term Kisei-sen | Sota Fujii | 98% | Kazuo Sugimoto | 3-0 | ○ |
| Jun 2025 | 10th term Eio-sen | Takumi Ito | 59% | Shintaro Saito | 3-2 | ○ |
| May 2025 | 83rd term Meijin-sen | Sota Fujii | 90% | Takuya Nagase | 4-1 | ○ |
| Mar 2025 | 74th term Osho-sen | Sota Fujii | 86% | Takuya Nagase | 4-1 | ○ |
| Mar 2025 | 50th term Kio-sen | Sota Fujii | 97% | Yasuhiro Masuda | 3-0 | ○ |
| Dec 2024 | 37th term Ryuo-sen | Sota Fujii | 95% | Yuuki Sasaki | 4-2 | ○ |
| Sep 2024 | 72nd term Oza-sen | Sota Fujii | 90% | Takuya Nagase | 3-0 | ○ |
| Aug 2024 | 65th term Oi-sen | Sota Fujii | 97% | Akira Watanabe | 4-1 | ○ |
| Jul 2024 | 95th term Kisei-sen | Sota Fujii | 97% | Takayuki Yamasaki | 3-0 | ○ |
| Jun 2024 | 9th term Eio-sen | Takumi Ito | 9% | Sota Fujii | 3-2 | 番狂わせ |
| May 2024 | 82nd term Meijin-sen | Sota Fujii | 99% | Masayuki Toyoshima | 4-1 | ○ |
| Mar 2024 | 49th term Kio-sen | Sota Fujii | 93% | Takumi Ito | 3-0 | ○ |
| Feb 2024 | 73rd term Osho-sen | Sota Fujii | 94% | Tatsuya Sugai | 4-0 | ○ |
| Nov 2023 | 36th term Ryuo-sen | Sota Fujii | 97% | Takumi Ito | 4-0 | ○ |
| Oct 2023 | 71st term Oza-sen | Sota Fujii | 88% | Takuya Nagase | 3-1 | ○ |
| Aug 2023 | 64th term Oi-sen | Sota Fujii | 93% | Daichi Sasaki | 4-1 | ○ |
| Jul 2023 | 94th term Kisei-sen | Sota Fujii | 94% | Daichi Sasaki | 3-1 | ○ |
| Jun 2023 | 81st term Meijin-sen | Sota Fujii | 95% | Akira Watanabe | 4-1 | ○ |
| May 2023 | 8th term Eio-sen | Sota Fujii | 96% | Tatsuya Sugai | 3-1 | ○ |
| Mar 2023 | 48th term Kio-sen | Sota Fujii | 93% | Akira Watanabe | 3-1 | ○ |
1 gamesごとの勝率は, レーティングの差から計算した期待勝率です (Sente・Goteの差は入れていません). Title matchの確率は, その勝率で残りの対局を指したときに, 先に必要な勝ち数に届く確率です. レーティングは当サイト独自の計算値です.